The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tucuman Central 30.8%
Draw 30.6%
Boca Unidos 38.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
32.5%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
33.7%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tucuman Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tucuman Central's form might have worsened.
Boca Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Unidos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucuman Central than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tucuman Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Unidos than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Unidos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tucuman Central - Boca Unidos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Villanueva T. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Smith F. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Alfano A. ⚽,
43', Fuyana J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Cisneros C. 🟨,
49', Medina A. 🟨,
49', 🟨,
58', Romero K. ↓, Delgado T. ↑,
61', Sigel J. 🟨,
64', 2 - 2, Cisneros C. ⚽,
73', Estrada F. 🟥,
76', Medina A. ↓, Mbombaj G. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
Recent form of Tucuman Central has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Boca Unidos is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tucuman Central won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Tucuman Central won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).