Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Raul Orlando Lungarzo (Chivilcoy)


	Independiente Chivilcoy		Tucuman Central

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.75	7.25
	1.49	3.45	6.40
	1.39	3.73	7.14
	1.60	3.42	5.93	Watch
	1.36	3.65	7.00
	1.33	4.13	9.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.68)	3.69 ↑ (3.15)	7.18 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Chivilcoy
63%

Draw
24.4%

Tucuman Central
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

28.4%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

22%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Chivilcoy's performance.

Tucuman Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tucuman Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Chivilcoy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucuman Central than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tucuman Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente Chivilcoy - Tucuman Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cordero M. (G) 3. Acuna L. 5. D'Annunzio N. 4. Gimenez R. 7. Hernandez Castro T. J. 10. Perez F. 8. Ramirez U. 9. Retamozo L. 11. Soriano V. 6. Torres D. 2. Vera A.	1. Moyano R. D. (G) 5. Abregu C. 6. Abregu G. 11. Collantes H. 2. Duarte N. 9. Estrada F. 4. Herrera L. 3. Martinez M. 10. Montenegro V. 8. Perdigon M. 7. Smith F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Vera A. ⚽,
37', Montenegro V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Soriano V. ⚽,
62', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Ind Chivilcoy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ind Chivilcoy is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.08.26	Sportivo Las Parejas - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
12.08.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Boca Unidos - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	El Linqueño - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLTTL
- Tucuman Central
Argentinian Torneo Federal
15.08.26	Tucuman Central - Atlético Escobar	2:3 ✺
12.08.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Tucuman Central	4:3 ✺
08.08.26	Tucuman Central - El Linqueño	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Tucuman Central	4:0 ✺
26.07.26	Tucuman Central - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTLT

Independiente Chivilcoy - Tucuman Central: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide