The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tudelano 32.4%
Draw 33.4%
Real Unión de Irun 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
28.4%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.7%
29.4%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tudelano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Tudelano - Real Unión de Irun Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Arruti M. ⚽,
57', 1 - 1, Alayeto I. ⚽,
75', De La Mata J. 🟥,
90+5', 1 - 2, Miguelez S. ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tudelano won 1.
Recent performances by Tudelano have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Real Unión is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tudelano won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tudelano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Tudelano
5
2
1
2
7:6
1
7
Last Results with these Odds
Real Unión de Irun - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.11%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.