Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Tudelano		Basconia

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.75	5.9
	1.51	3.89	6.48
	1.49	3.92	6.21	Watch
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.48	3.72	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.64)	3.78 ↑ (3.5)	6.21 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tudelano
61.1%

Draw
24.2%

Basconia
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.7%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tudelano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tudelano's performance.

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tudelano than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Tudelano - Basconia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Alayeto I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 1 - 1, Osipov D. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Tudelano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Basconia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Tudelano is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tudelano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.12.25	Amorebieta - Tudelano	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Tudelano - Náxara	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Alfaro - Tudelano	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Tudelano - Gernika	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Alavés B - Tudelano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLWL
- CD Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.12.25	Basconia - Eibar B	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Mutilvera - Basconia	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Basconia - UD Logroñés	3:3 ✺
15.11.25	Ebro - Basconia	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Basconia - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTTLL

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