Match Info

NPL ACT - Round 15

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Kambah Stadium (Canberra)


	Tuggeranong United		Gungahlin United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	4.1	2.35
	2.28	4.15	2.35
	2.23	4.15	2.33
	2.36	4.41	2.36	Watch
	2.26	4.05	2.38
	2.55	4.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.1)	4.18 ↓ (4.5)	2.3 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tuggeranong United
38.9%

Draw
21.7%

Gungahlin United
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

19.9%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

19.2%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuggeranong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Gungahlin United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuggeranong United than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tuggeranong United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gungahlin United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Tuggeranong United - Gungahlin United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tuggeranong United (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tuggeranong United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tuggeranong United won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tuggeranong United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tuggeranong United has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tuggeranong United won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 26:42. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tuggeranong United won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.6:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuggeranong United
Australian NPL ACT
20.07.25	Tuggeranong United - Canberra Croatia	1:7 ✺
12.07.25	Tuggeranong United - Queanbeyan City	1:3 ✺
05.07.25	OConnor Knights - Tuggeranong United	2:3 ✺
29.06.25	Tuggeranong United - Tigers FC	0:3 ✺
22.06.25	Tuggeranong United - Yoogali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLW
- Gungahlin United
Australian NPL ACT
20.07.25	Gungahlin United - Monaro Panthers	0:4 ✺
13.07.25	OConnor Knights - Gungahlin United	1:5 ✺
06.07.25	Gungahlin United - Yoogali	0:1 ✺
29.06.25	Canberra Croatia - Gungahlin United	4:5 ✺
22.06.25	Gungahlin United - Tigers FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 43.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL ACT
30.05.25	Gungahlin United - Tuggeranong United	2:4
06.04.25	Tuggeranong United - Gungahlin United	0:0
21.07.24	Gungahlin United - Tuggeranong United	1:0
26.05.24	Tuggeranong United - Gungahlin United	2:3
06.04.24	Gungahlin United - Tuggeranong United	6:0
23.07.23	Tuggeranong United - Gungahlin United	1:3
28.05.23	Gungahlin United - Tuggeranong United	3:0

Tuggeranong United - Gungahlin United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide