Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL ACT - ROUND 12

Date: 19 July 2023, Wednesday


	Tuggeranong United		West Canberra Wanderers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	4.1	4.1
	1.61	4	3.8
	1.69	4.67	3.96
	1.55	3.9	4.33
	1.65	4.33	4	Watch
	1.6	4.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.91)	4.2 ↑ (3.75)	4.07 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuggeranong United
56%

Draw
21.7%

West Canberra Wanderers
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

23.5%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

23%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuggeranong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tuggeranong United's performance.

West Canberra Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and West Canberra Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tuggeranong United than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tuggeranong United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Canberra Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that West Canberra Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tuggeranong United - West Canberra Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 7 and 8 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tuggeranong United won 2.

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Recently Tuggeranong United have a series of guest games.

In this match Tuggeranong United is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Tuggeranong United won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Tuggeranong United won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuggeranong United
Australian NPL ACT
16.07.23	Tuggeranong United - Monaro Panthers	0:0 ✺
05.07.23	Canberra Croatia - Tuggeranong United	7:1 ✺
30.06.23	Tigers FC - Tuggeranong United	4:1 ✺
17.06.23	Canberra Olympic - Tuggeranong United	2:2 ✺
10.06.23	OConnor Knights - Tuggeranong United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.4 TLLTL
- West Canberra Wanderers
Australian NPL ACT
16.07.23	Gungahlin United - West Canberra Wanderers	2:0 ✺
08.07.23	West Canberra Wanderers - Tigers FC	3:4 ✺
01.07.23	OConnor Knights - West Canberra Wanderers	9:0 ✺
17.06.23	West Canberra Wanderers - Canberra Croatia	2:4 ✺
10.06.23	Monaro Panthers - West Canberra Wanderers	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL ACT
06.05.23	West Canberra Wanderers - Tuggeranong United	1:2
02.07.21	West Canberra Wanderers - Tuggeranong United	5:1
09.05.21	Tuggeranong United - West Canberra Wanderers	1:1
20.09.20	Tuggeranong United - West Canberra Wanderers	0:3
01.08.20	West Canberra Wanderers - Tuggeranong United	0:2
11.08.19	Tuggeranong United - West Canberra Wanderers	2:0
01.06.19	West Canberra Wanderers - Tuggeranong United	2:0

Tuggeranong United - West Canberra Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide