Match Info

Date: 9 July 2022, Saturday

Location: ONEOK Field (Tulsa)

Referee: Hernandez L. (Usa)


	Tulsa		Atlanta United II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	4.2	4.33	Watch
	1.58	4.4	4
	1.63	4.2	3.75
	1.61	4.74	4.28
	1.58	4.3	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)	4.37 ↑ (4.21)	4.17 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tulsa
57.2%

Draw
20.9%

Atlanta United II
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

21.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

23.8%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tulsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

The chances for Atlanta United II have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tulsa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Tulsa - Atlanta United II Predictions

Users Predictions: Tulsa will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 12).

Tulsa has the most likely position - 10 (24%), has project points - 38, has currently - 19, has a small chance of playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Atlanta United II has the most likely position - 12 (27.97%), has project points - 28, has currently - 15, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 9, very small importance 7, very small match rating 8. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Atlanta United II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tulsa have a series of guest games.

In this match Tulsa is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tulsa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Tulsa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tulsa
USL Championship
03.07.22	Loudoun United - Tulsa	2:2 ✺
28.06.22	San Antonio - Tulsa	2:1 ✺
25.06.22	Tulsa - Charleston Battery	2:1 ✺
22.06.22	Memphis 901 - Tulsa	2:0 ✺
15.06.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Tulsa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWLT
- Atlanta United II
USL Championship
06.07.22	Atlanta United II - Birmingham Legion	3:3 ✺
02.07.22	Atlanta United II - El Paso Locomotive	2:2 ✺
29.06.22	Charleston Battery - Atlanta United II	3:4 ✺
25.06.22	Oakland Roots - Atlanta United II	3:1 ✺
18.06.22	Atlanta United II - Hartford Athletic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
20.10.21	Tulsa - Atlanta United II	4:0
28.08.21	Tulsa - Atlanta United II	3:1
28.07.21	Atlanta United II - Tulsa	2:1
19.05.21	Atlanta United II - Tulsa	5:0

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