Match Info

First League - Round 16

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday


	Khan Tengri		Turan Turkistan

	1	X	2
	13.00	6.00	1.17
	12.50	5.90	1.15
	8.30	5.40	1.18
	9.41	4.82	1.28	Watch
	9.50	5.60	1.15
	15.50	5.75	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.37 ↑ (6.61)	5.58 ↑ (4.11)	1.18 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khan Tengri
7.9%

Draw
16.1%

Turan Turkistan
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.8%

22.2%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

21.3%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khan Tengri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Khan Tengri's form might have worsened.

Turan Turkistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Turan Turkistan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khan Tengri than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Khan Tengri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Turan Turkistan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Murzagaliyev T. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 3).

Khan Tengri is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Turan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Turan is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Turan will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Khan Tengri won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Khan Tengri won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Turan	23	16	2	5	51:21	30	50
10	Khan Tengri	23	7	4	12	29:44	-15	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khan Tengri FC
Kazakh First League
23.07.26	Jaiyq - Khan Tengri	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Khan Tengri - Yelimay 2	0:1 ✺
09.07.26	Aktobe 2 - Khan Tengri	5:2 ✺
02.07.26	Khan Tengri - Batyr Ekibastuz	1:3 ✺
25.06.26	Kairat 2 - Khan Tengri	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh First League
24.07.26	Turan Turkistan - Tobol 2	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Arys - Turan Turkistan	0:4 ✺
10.07.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	1:0 ✺
03.07.26	Turan Turkistan - Jaiyq	2:2 ✺
25.06.26	Yelimay 2 - Turan Turkistan	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
01.05.26	Turan Turkistan - Khan Tengri	1:0
24.08.23	Khan Tengri - Turan Turkistan	0:0
14.05.23	Turan Turkistan - Khan Tengri	1:0
Kazakh Cup
27.03.23	Khan Tengri - Turan Turkistan	3:4

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