Match Info

First League - Round 13

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday


	Shakhter Karagandy		Turan Turkistan

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.30	3.30
	1.85	3.45	3.50
	1.95	3.30	3.00
	1.96	3.72	3.19	Watch
	1.89	3.35	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.96)	3.42 ↓ (3.72)	3.27 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Shakhter Karagandy
46.7%

Draw
26%

Turan Turkistan
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

24.6%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

22.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Shakhter Karagandy have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Turan Turkistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Migunov A. ⚽, Nusip A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhter Karagandy won 2.

Shakhter Karagandy is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Turan is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shakhter Karagandy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shakhter Karagandy will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shakhter Karagandy won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Shakhter Karagandy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shakhter Karagandy ✔	24	21	2	1	66:8	58	65
3	Turan	23	16	2	5	51:21	30	50

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh First League
02.07.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Shakhter Karagandy	1:2 ✺
26.06.26	Taraz - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Jaiyq	3:0 ✺
12.06.26	Khan Tengri - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2 ✺
26.05.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Yelimay 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW
- FC Turan Turkistan
Kazakh First League
03.07.26	Turan Turkistan - Jaiyq	2:2 ✺
25.06.26	Yelimay 2 - Turan Turkistan	0:3 ✺
12.06.26	Turan Turkistan - Kaspiy Aktau 2	3:0 ✺
27.05.26	Turan Turkistan - Batyr Ekibastuz	4:0 ✺
21.05.26	Kairat 2 - Turan Turkistan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
14.09.24	Turan Turkistan - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1
30.03.24	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	0:2
09.10.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	0:0
Kazakh Cup
05.08.22	Turan Turkistan - Shakhter Karagandy	0:2
08.07.22	Shakhter Karagandy - Turan Turkistan	4:0
Kazakh Premier League
08.05.22	Turan Turkistan - Shakhter Karagandy	2:0
02.10.21	Turan Turkistan - Shakhter Karagandy	0:0

Upcoming Matches