Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 16

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Amerigo Liguori (Torre del Greco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	Turris		Foggia

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.15
	3.1	3.15	2.29
	3.25	3.15	2.27
	3.24	3.11	2.3	Watch
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.13	3.06	2.21	Watch
	3.1	3.15	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.7)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	2.24 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Turris
29.6%

Draw
29.5%

Foggia
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

29%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28.1%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Turris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turris than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Turris - Foggia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Marcone R. (G) 4. Castellano F. 5. Cocetta N. 2. Esempio S. 21. Casacchia G. 23. Scaccabarozzi J. 19. Parodi G. 38. Nicolao G. 10. Giannone L. 17. Nocerino L. 45. Ekuban J.	1. Perina P. (G) 31. Salines E. 32. Parodi G. 6. Camigliano A. 3. Felicioli G. 20. Da Riva J. 47. Pazienza O. 4. Mazzocco D. 11. Orlando F. 14. Murano J. 10. Millico V.
Substitutes
11. Armiento C. 16. Casarini F. 30. Desiato F. 22. Fallani M. (G) 1. Iuliano S. (G) 8. Morrone B. 15. Ndiaye M. 18. Onofrietti V. 27. Porro M. 13. Ricci L. 9. Solmonte A. 29. Trotta M.	77. Ascione S. 33. Carillo L. 8. Danzi A. 22. De Lucia V. (G) 12. De Simone L. (G) 90. Emmausso M. 15. Ercolani L. 9. Santaniello E. 2. Silvestro A. 17. Tascone S. 21. Vezzoni F. 7. Zunno M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', Parodi G. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Castellano F. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Millico V. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Millico V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Da Riva J. ↓, Vezzoni F. ↑,
56', Camigliano A. ↓, Gargiulo M. ↑,
56', Mazzocco D. ↓, Tascone S. ↑,
65', Parodi G. ↓, Onofrietti V. ↑,
67', Vezzoni F. 🟨,
72', Millico V. ↓, Zunno M. ↑,
78', Castellano F. 🟨,
78', Castellano F. ↓, Casarini F. ↑,
78', Giannone L. ↓, Armiento C. ↑,
84', Vezzoni F. 🟨,
84', Orlando F. ↓, Ercolani L. ↑,
87', Scaccabarozzi J. ↓, Porro M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Turris won 1.

Recent matches Turris is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Foggia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Foggia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Foggia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Turris won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:19 (average 1.3:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Turris won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Turris 1944
Italian Serie C Group C
11.11.24	Turris - Altamura	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	Benevento - Turris	2:1 ✺
31.10.24	Turris - Catania	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Taranto - Turris	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Turris - Giugliano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLTTW
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
15.11.24	Foggia - Casertana	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Foggia - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
04.11.24	Cavese - Foggia	2:1 ✺
31.10.24	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Sorrento - Foggia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
11.02.24	Turris - Foggia	2:0
01.10.23	Foggia - Turris	2:1
23.04.23	Foggia - Turris	4:0
18.12.22	Turris - Foggia	1:2
Italian Serie C Group B
01.05.22	Foggia - Turris	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
22.02.22	Turris - Foggia	3:1
11.09.21	Foggia - Turris	0:2

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