The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Turris 18.3%
Draw 27.3%
Catania 54.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.1%
28.4%
53.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18%
28.2%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Turris than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Turris - Catania Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Marcone R. (G) 2. Esempio S. 15. Ndiaye M. 5. Cocetta N. 66. Boli J. 4. Castellano F. 8. Morrone B. 10. Giannone L. 19. Parodi G. 17. Nocerino L. 45. Ekuban J.
31. Adamonis M. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 27. Castellini A. 44. Guglielmotti D. 16. Quaini A. 14. Verna L. 33. Anastasio A. 17. Luperini G. 20. Carpani G. 9. Inglese R.
Substitutes
11. Armiento C. 16. Casarini F. 30. Desiato F. 22. Fallani M. (G) 1. Iuliano S. (G) 38. Nicolao G. 18. Onofrietti V. 27. Porro M. 13. Ricci L. 23. Scaccabarozzi J. 29. Trotta M.
36. Allegra O. 1. Bethers K. (G) 12. Butano D. (G) 3. Celli A. 37. Forti C. 24. Gega E. 10. Jimenez K. 32. Montalto A. 19. Raimo A. 21. Stoppa M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Carpani G. 🟨,
44', Quaini A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Inglese R. ⚽,
54', Guglielmotti D. 🟨,
56', Guglielmotti D. 🟨,
62', Ndiaye M. ↓, Onofrietti V. ↑,
62', Luperini G. ↓, Raimo A. ↑,
70', Morrone B. ↓, Scaccabarozzi J. ↑,
70', Giannone L. ↓, Trotta M. ↑,
71', Carpani G. ↓, Stoppa M. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Ekuban J. ⚽,
79', Inglese R. ↓, Montalto A. ↑,
80', Parodi G. ↓, Nicolao G. ↑,
80', Quaini A. ↓, Forti C. ↑,
81', Forti C. 🟨,
81', Castellano F. ↓, Casarini F. ↑,
81', Anastasio A. ↓, Gega E. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Turris won 3.
Recent matches Turris is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Catania is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Catania is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Turris won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.5:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Turris won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).