Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 21

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Sorrento		Foggia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.85	3.25	4.05
	1.77	3.23	4.74	Watch
	1.8	3	4
	1.79	3.14	4.45	Watch
	1.75	3.25	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.84)	3.18 ↓ (3.42)	4.36 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sorrento
50.6%

Draw
28.6%

Foggia
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26.9%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

26.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sorrento - Foggia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sorrento will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Foggia will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Del Sorbo L. (G) 23. Cangianiello S. 46. Colombini L. 8. Cuccurullo M. 7. D'Ursi E. 6. Fusco F. 32. Paglino S. 4. Potenza A. 90. Sabbatani A. 5. Shaw K. 18. Tonni M.	1. Perucchini F. (G) 9. Bevilacqua M. 20. Buttaro A. 5. Castorri G. 99. D'Amico F. 8. Garofalo V. 6. Minelli A. 18. Oliva M. 77. Olivieri E. 47. Pazienza O. 98. Rizzo F.
Substitutes
20. Bernabeo S. 3. Crecco L. 11. Esposito M. 22. Harrasser S. (G) 56. Iachini L. 21. Matera A. 85. Milan M. 9. Plescia V. 10. Ricci F. 73. Ricercato R. 30. Vilardi M.	27. Borbei A. (G) 40. Castaldi G. 11. Fossati D. 22. Magro F. (G) 44. Menegazzo L. 23. Morelli G. 10. Nocerino L. 25. Staver C. 17. Sylla Y. 92. Winkelmann T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Bevilacqua M. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Sabbatani A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Oliva M. ↓, Morelli G. ↑,
61', Olivieri E. ↓, Winkelmann T. ↑,
66', Tonni M. 🟨,
70', Morelli G. 🟨,
71', Tonni M. ↓, Ricci F. ↑,
72', D'Amico F. ↓, Nocerino L. ↑,
73', Rizzo F. 🟨,
75', Potenza A. ↓, Crecco L. ↑,
86', Pazienza O. ↓, Menegazzo L. ↑,
86', Bevilacqua M. ↓, Fossati D. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', D'Ursi E. ↓, Plescia V. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sorrento is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sorrento won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sorrento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sorrento	8	6	0	2	12:7	5	18
10	Foggia	8	3	2	3	8:7	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
03.01.26	Cavese - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Sorrento - Picerno	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Atalanta U23 - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Sorrento - Potenza	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Altamura - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTWTW
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
04.01.26	Foggia - Catania	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Salernitana - Foggia	2:1 ✺
15.12.25	Foggia - Monopoli	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Siracusa - Foggia	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Foggia - Nuova Cosenza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.6 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
30.08.25	Foggia - Sorrento	1:0
09.03.25	Foggia - Sorrento	2:1
27.10.24	Sorrento - Foggia	2:1
10.03.24	Sorrento - Foggia	1:1
04.11.23	Foggia - Sorrento	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Foggia - Sorrento	5:0
Italian Serie D - Group H
10.11.19	Foggia - Sorrento	0:2

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