Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Txantrea		Egüés

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.21	3.31	3.02
	1.37	4.61	7.53	Watch
	2.17	3.25	3
	2.2	3.33	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.14)	3.56 ↑ (3.38)	3.89 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Txantrea
48%

Draw
27.1%

Egüés
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.7%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26.6%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Txantrea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Txantrea's performance.

Egüés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Egüés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Txantrea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egüés than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Egüés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Txantrea - Egüés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Echeverria E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Txantrea won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Txantrea will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Txantrea won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Txantrea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Valle Egues	5	1	2	2	8:9	-1	5
12	Txantrea	5	1	2	2	4:9	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
17.01.26	Huarte - Txantrea	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Cortes - Txantrea	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Txantrea - Oberena	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Izarra - Txantrea	4:1 ✺
13.12.25	Txantrea - Bidezarra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLW
- CD Egüés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
17.01.26	Egüés - Pamplona	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Egüés - Cirbonero	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Artajonés - Egüés	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Egüés - Subiza	0:3 ✺
13.12.25	San Juan - Egüés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
13.09.25	Egüés - Txantrea	2:2
18.01.25	Egüés - Txantrea	4:1
08.01.23	Txantrea - Egüés	1:2
10.09.22	Egüés - Txantrea	1:0
25.09.21	Egüés - Txantrea	1:2
13.03.21	Txantrea - Egüés	2:1
07.02.20	Txantrea - Egüés	1:3

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