Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Ardoi		Txantrea

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	2.19	3.29	3.08
	2.09	3.62	3.02	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.08	3.63	3.21
	2.12	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.5)	3.43 ↑ (3.25)	3.05 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ardoi
43.4%

Draw
26.6%

Txantrea
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

27.4%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ardoi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ardoi's performance.

Txantrea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Txantrea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ardoi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Txantrea than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Txantrea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ardoi - Txantrea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Gurpegui U. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Sarratea O. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Gurpegui U. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Ardoi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ardoi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Txantrea	5	1	2	2	4:9	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Ardoi FE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.02.26	Pamplona - Ardoi	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Ardoi - Cirbonero	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Artajonés - Ardoi	4:2 ✺
17.01.26	Ardoi - Subiza	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Ardoi - San Juan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLLWT
- UDC Txantrea
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.02.26	Txantrea - Beti Kozkor	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Peña Sport - Txantrea	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Txantrea - Egüés	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Huarte - Txantrea	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Cortes - Txantrea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
04.10.25	Txantrea - Ardoi	3:2
28.02.25	Ardoi - Txantrea	2:1
20.01.24	Txantrea - Ardoi	1:3
18.02.23	Ardoi - Txantrea	2:0
22.10.22	Txantrea - Ardoi	3:0
27.10.19	Ardoi - Txantrea	0:1
28.10.18	Ardoi - Txantrea	0:1

Upcoming Matches