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Current Win Probability
Chayka Peschanokopskoye 32.1%
Draw 30.5%
Ufa 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.3%
30.8%
44.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.5%
29.4%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chayka Peschanokopskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chayka Peschanokopskoye's performance.
Ufa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ufa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chayka Peschanokopskoye that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ufa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ufa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
58. Fadeev S. (G) 24. Pridava N. 15. Rogochiy B. 27. Krutovskikh A. 14. Kaptilovich D. 10. Dzhebov A. 19. Ivanov I. 6. Petin Y. 18. Sokolov A. (C) 83. Ishchenko N. 7. Gulyaev E.
31. Belenov A. (C) 7. Perchenok A. 55. Shlyakov E. 50. Khomukha I. 96. Baranovsky A. 8. Isaev S. 79. Troyanov K. 15. Khabalov A. 23. Akhatov D. 88. Ageyan M. 11. Minatulaev O.
Substitutes
20. Biblik S. 89. Chervyakov R. 55. Gapeev V. 95. Gerdt A. 69. Gurylev A. 88. Markelov I. 96. Sorochinskiy I. (G) 38. Topinka S. 22. Uzhgin M.
40. Chernov A. (G) 77. Chimezie W. 10. Gystarov R. 69. Khanenko I. 19. Mayorov E. 70. Ortiz D. 17. Ozmanov D. 97. Polesovshchikov A.
Coaches
Kombarov D.
Tetradze O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Pridava N. 🟨,
17', Ivanov I. 🟨,
28', Isaev S. 🟨,
41', Akhatov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Baranovsky A. ↓, Gystarov R. ↑,
46', Akhatov D. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
62', Gulyaev E. ↓, Chervyakov R. ↑,
68', Perchenok A. 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Sokolov A. (Pen),
72', Ishchenko N. ↓, Biblik S. ↑,
72', Isaev S. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Ortiz D. (Pen),
85', Khabalov A. ↓, Ozmanov D. ↑,
87', Kaptilovich D. ↓, Topinka S. ↑,
90', Dzhebov A. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 2.
Peschanokopskoye has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Ufa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Ufa has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Peschanokopskoye won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Peschanokopskoye won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Watch
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Fadeev S. (G) 
Biblik S. 
Chimezie W. 
Ortiz D. 
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