FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 12
Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday
Location: Geolog Stadium (Tyumen)
Tyumen
Zenit 2
1
X
2
2.30
3.55
2.48
2.66
3.56
2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.48 ↓ (2.77)
3.56 ↓ (3.92)
2.42 ↑ (2.31)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tyumen 36.7%
Draw 25.6%
Zenit 2 37.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
24.3%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
23.8%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Zenit 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit 2 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Kokarev V. (G) 56. Demyanov V. 70. Maryanov A. 27. Ofitserov M. 2. Polev A. 7. Roshchin A. 96. Rukas T. 90. Shakuro P. (C) 17. Shitov V. 97. Talikin D. 10. Tatarinov E.
93. Shichanin M. (G) 86. Barkov D. 72. Busalaev A. 35. Gayvoronskiy D. 58. Izotov P. 63. Karelin S. 49. Khanov L. 87. Nikiforov S. 47. Obonin K. (C) 43. Terentyev D. 70. Vershinin N.
Substitutes
11. Babaev V. 45. Boyarskikh K. 21. Dmitriev M. 8. Glukhov E. 24. Grinwald V. 25. Kulaev M. 14. Luzin S. 72. Magomedov Y. (G) 95. Oborocha I. 5. Tonevitskiy E. 4. Zakharov G.
80. Bulygin I. 85. Chernov S. 97. Dubinin E. 53. Egurnev A. 45. Glazunov K. 84. Mityaev A. (G) 64. Voinkov K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, Barkov D. ⚽,
67', Izotov P. ↓, Voinkov K. ↑,
67', Khanov L. ↓, Egurnev A. ↑,
71', Roshchin A. ↓, Oborocha I. ↑,
71', Tatarinov E. ↓, Boyarskikh K. ↑,
76', 🟨,
80', Shitov V. ↓, Dmitriev M. ↑,
80', Talikin D. ↓, Babaev V. ↑,
89', Boyarskikh K. 🟨,
90+3', Egurnev A. 🟨,
90+4', Maryanov A. 🟨,
Preview
Tyumen is Qualified for FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season ).
Zenit 2 is Qualified for FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season ).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tyumen won 0.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Zenit 2 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Tyumen has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:15 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tyumen against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.4:1.2 per game).
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Kokarev V. (G) 
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