Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF NORTH - ROUND 23

Date: 22 March 2024, Friday


	Tzeirey Tayibe		Hapoel Kiryat Yam

	1	X	2
	7.25	4.33	1.34
	7.5	4.5	1.35
	6.8	4.2	1.4
	6.4	4.07	1.41
	8.5	4.5	1.3
	7.75	4.3	1.36
	7.5	4.5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.39 ↑ (4.66)	4.34 ↑ (3.62)	1.36 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tzeirey Tayibe
12.3%

Draw
20.9%

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

25.2%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

24.3%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tzeirey Tayibe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tzeirey Tayibe's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Kiryat Yam's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tzeirey Tayibe than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tzeirey Tayibe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kiryat Yam than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Kiryat Yam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
36', 0 - 1, Seidere E. ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 2, Shemhavim M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Tzeirey Tayibe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hapoel Kiryat Yam is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tzeirey Tayibe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hapoel Kiryat Yam is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tzeirey Tayibe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tzeirey Tayibe
Israeli Liga Alef North
16.03.24	Hapoel Kaukab - Tzeirey Tayibe	1:1 ✺
12.03.24	Tzeirey Tayibe - Ironi Nesher	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	Tzeirey Tayibe - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	0:0 ✺
01.03.24	Tzeirey Tayibe - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2 ✺
26.02.24	Hapoel Kafr Kanna - Tzeirey Tayibe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTLT
- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Alef North
15.03.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Tzeirei Kafr Kanna	1:0 ✺
12.03.24	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	2:1 ✺
07.03.24	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:1 ✺
01.03.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Kaukab	2:0 ✺
26.02.24	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
29.12.23	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Tzeirey Tayibe	1:1

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