Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF NORTH - ROUND 21

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday


	Tzeirey Tayibe		Ironi Nesher

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.25
	2.9	3.1	2.3
	2.95	3.08	2.37
	2.95	3.08	2.37
	2.88	3.2	2.2
	2.93	3.16	2.28
	2.9	3.1	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.67)	3.13 ↑ (2.88)	2.3 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tzeirey Tayibe
31.4%

Draw
29%

Ironi Nesher
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

31.7%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

30.1%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tzeirey Tayibe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Ironi Nesher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ironi Nesher's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tzeirey Tayibe than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Nesher than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Tzeirey Tayibe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ironi Nesher has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tzeirey Tayibe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Tzeirey Tayibe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tzeirey Tayibe
Israeli Liga Alef North
08.03.24	Tzeirey Tayibe - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	0:0 ✺
01.03.24	Tzeirey Tayibe - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2 ✺
26.02.24	Hapoel Kafr Kanna - Tzeirey Tayibe	1:1 ✺
23.02.24	Tzeirey Tayibe - Hapoel Bnei Zalafa	1:3 ✺
16.02.24	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Tzeirey Tayibe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTLL
- Ironi Nesher
Israeli Liga Alef North
08.03.24	Ironi Nesher - Tzeirei Kafr Kanna	0:2 ✺
01.03.24	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Ironi Nesher	4:0 ✺
26.02.24	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:3 ✺
23.02.24	Hapoel Kaukab - Ironi Nesher	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
19.12.23	Ironi Nesher - Tzeirey Tayibe	3:0
17.02.23	Tzeirey Tayibe - Ironi Nesher	2:3
18.10.22	Ironi Nesher - Tzeirey Tayibe	0:1
11.03.22	Tzeirey Tayibe - Ironi Nesher	3:1
26.11.21	Ironi Nesher - Tzeirey Tayibe	4:0

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