Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Bayern - Round 21

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Olympiastadion (Munich)


	Türkgücü München		Aubstadt

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.9
	3.55	3.55	1.94
	3.72	3.47	1.94
	3.72	3.48	1.88
	3.51	3.44	1.91
	3.55	3.55	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.91)	3.48 ↓ (3.9)	1.92 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Türkgücü München
25.7%

Draw
26.4%

Aubstadt
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

23.6%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

23.2%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Türkgücü München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Aubstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Türkgücü München than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubstadt than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aubstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Türkgücü München - Aubstadt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Grimm M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 0 - 2, Pitter T. ⚽,
70', 0 - 3, Nickel M. ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, Tosun U. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Türkgücü München won 1.

Türkgücü München is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Aubstadt is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Türkgücü München could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aubstadt will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Türkgücü München won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Türkgücü München won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Türkgücü München
German Regionalliga Bayern
15.11.24	Augsburg II - Türkgücü München	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Türkgücü München - Vilzing	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Würzburger Kickers - Türkgücü München	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Türkgücü München	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Türkgücü München - Bayern Munich II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLLLT
- TSV Aubstadt
German Regionalliga Bayern
16.11.24	Aubstadt - Illertissen	1:3 ✺
09.11.24	Greuther Fürth II - Aubstadt	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Aubstadt - Schweinfurt	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Aubstadt - Eintracht Bamberg	5:2 ✺
22.10.24	Buchbach - Aubstadt	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
09.08.24	Aubstadt - Türkgücü München	2:1
24.02.24	Türkgücü München - Aubstadt	0:1
11.08.23	Aubstadt - Türkgücü München	3:0
03.12.22	Türkgücü München - Aubstadt	1:0
06.08.22	Aubstadt - Türkgücü München	1:1
21.09.19	Aubstadt - Türkgücü München	1:3

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