Match Info

Primera B - Round 14

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Monumental de Villa Lynch (Buenos Aires)


	UAI Urquiza		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.87	2.05
	3.75	2.82	2.05	Watch
	3.62	2.92	2.15
	3.85	2.82	2.09	Watch
	3.5	2.7	2.15
	3.73	2.8	2.11
	3.25	2.75	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.25)	2.81 ↑ (2.75)	2.12 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UAI Urquiza
25.2%

Draw
32.2%

Arsenal Sarandí
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

32.6%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

31.9%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

UAI Urquiza - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Viain I. (G) 11. Arcuri L. 3. Caceres A. 4. Ciancio V. 9. Diaz E. 6. Monzon S. 10. Polizotto M. 5. Rios N. 8. Rocha T. 2. Rodriguez V. 7. Scacchi S.	1. Lobelos J. (G) 5. Colletta T. 4. Del Col M. 9. Kestler I. 8. Lucero M. 2. Payes A. 6. Peralta I. 3. Perez D. (C) 10. Sosa M. 7. Trombini M. 11. Vega A.
Substitutes
. Albano V. . Asprea T. . Ibanez E. . Marino F. . Mesa F. . Pesse V. . Postel F. . Prado D. F. . Rolon J. (G) . Scarcella R. . Soria M. . Zapata E.	13. Brienzo N. 14. Cabrera I. 19. Franco L. 16. Frascone N. 18. La Roza U. 20. Ochoa J. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 17. Serrano V. 15. Vila J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Peralta I. 🟨,
33', Trombini M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Kestler I. (Penalty Awarded),
56', Rios N. 🟨,
59', Monzon S. 🟨,
63', Asprea T. ↓, Ibanez E. ↑,
63', Rios N. ↓, Scarcella R. ↑,
69', Vega A. ↓, Serrano V. ↑,
69', Rodriguez V. ↓, Albano V. ↑,
69', Polizotto M. ↓, Pesse V. ↑,
73', Lucero M. ↓, Vila J. ↑,
73', Kestler I. ↓, Franco L. ↑,
80', Sosa M. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
80', Trombini M. ↓, La Roza U. ↑,
82', Lobelos J. 🟨,
83', Scacchi S. ↓, Mesa F. ↑,
85', Mesa F. 🟨,
86', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
89', Ochoa J. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional).

UAI Urquiza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arsenal Sarandí is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arsenal Sarandí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arsenal Sarandí will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
21	UAI Urquiza	38	5	20	13	21:35	-14	35

Last Results with these Odds

Arsenal Sarandí - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UAI Urquiza
Argentinian Primera B
25.04.26	Argentino de Merlo - UAI Urquiza	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	UAI Urquiza - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Deportivo Laferrere - UAI Urquiza	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	UAI Urquiza - Brown de Adrogué	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Deportivo Armenio - UAI Urquiza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLTLL
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
26.04.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Excursionistas - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
14.04.26	Ituzaingó - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Argentino de Merlo	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWTWW

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