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Current Win Probability
UAI Urquiza 27.7%
Draw 34.1%
Comunicaciones 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
31.2%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.5%
29.9%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UAI Urquiza's form might have worsened.
Comunicaciones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
UAI Urquiza - Comunicaciones Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Viain I. (G) 7. Arcuri L. (C) 3. Caceres A. 9. Diaz E. 4. Galli F. 8. Ibanez E. 6. Monzon S. 10. Pesse V. 5. Rios N. 2. Rocha T. 11. Zapata E.
1. Bacher E. (G) 8. Carruega I. 3. Compagnucci R. 5. Fabello F. 10. Ibanez J. (C) 4. Jaque G. 6. Mattia F. 11. Puigdellivol C. 9. Vazquez C. 7. Vico L. 2. Zabala G.
Substitutes
13. Ciancio V. 19. Forni L. A. 18. Leiva R. 20. Mesa F. 16. Polizotto M. 14. Postel F. 12. Rolon J. (G) 15. San Martin T. 17. Scacchi S.
19. Brambillo M. 14. Britez L. 13. Cabrera I. 15. Friesel T. 20. Gaona L. 12. Lago J. 17. Ramirez E. 16. Rolon T. 18. Ruiz P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Vico L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zapata E. ↓, Scacchi S. ↑,
59', Vazquez C. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
65', 0 - 2, Ramirez E. ⚽,
66', Arcuri L. ↓, Polizotto M. ↑,
66', Ibanez E. ↓, Leiva R. ↑,
70', Ibanez J. 🟨,
72', Ibanez J. ↓, Brambillo M. ↑,
72', Vico L. ↓, Rolon T. ↑,
72', Carruega I. 🟨,
77', Zabala G. 🟨,
82', Rocha T. ↓, Ciancio V. ↑,
82', Pesse V. ↓, San Martin T. ↑,
82', Carruega I. ↓, Friesel T. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, UAI Urquiza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).