The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UAI Urquiza 25%
Draw 31.8%
Sportivo Italiano 43.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
33.1%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
32.9%
34%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UAI Urquiza's form might have worsened.
Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Italiano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UAI Urquiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Italiano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
UAI Urquiza - Sportivo Italiano Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. UAI Urquiza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sportivo Italiano will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Viain I. (G)
4. Albano V.
8. Arcuri L. (C)
9. Diaz E.
5. Ibanez E.
10. Marin A.
6. Monzon S.
11. Pesse V.
3. Prado F.
7. Rios N.
2. Rodriguez V.
Substitutes
18. Caceres A.
14. Ciancio V.
15. Galli F.
20. Leiva R.
16. Polizotto M.
13. Rocha T.
12. Rolon J. (G)
17. Scacchi S.
19. Scarcella R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Monzon S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Prado F. 🟨,
64', Di Massimo F. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
64', Centurion F. ↓, Gimenez K. ↑,
67', Marin A. ↓, Ciancio V. ↑,
73', Diaz E. 🟥,
76', Merzario E. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
78', Albano V. ↓, Galli F. ↑,
78', Arcuri L. ↓, Leiva R. ↑,
83', Laborda L. ↓, Hirigoyen T. ↑,
84', Guerra A. ↓, Fortino R. ↑,
90+3', Pesse V. ↓, Rocha T. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 0.
Recent performances by UAI Urquiza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sportivo Italiano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 0.9:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, UAI Urquiza won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).