Match Info
Primera B - Round 24Date: 10 July 2026, FridayLocation: Monumental de Villa Lynch (Buenos Aires)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | LPF Play |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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UAI Urquiza |
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Deportivo Merlo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.75 |
2.70 |
2.60 |
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2.50 |
2.75 |
2.85 |
Watch |
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2.82 |
2.72 |
2.89 |
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2.74 |
2.75 |
2.75 |
Watch |
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2.7 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
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2.40 |
2.83 |
3.10 |
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2.75 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↓
(2.85) |
2.72 ↓
(2.75) |
2.77 ↑
(2.5) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
UAI Urquiza
34% | Draw
33.3% | Deportivo Merlo
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UAI Urquiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Deportivo Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Merlo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Viain I. (G)
3. Caceres A.
4. Galli F.
9. Leiva R.
6. Monzon S. (C)
10. Pesse V.
8. Polizotto M.
5. Rios N.
2. Rodriguez V.
7. Scacchi S.
11. Zapata E.
| 1. Figueroa T. (G)
4. Aguerre F.
5. Benitez F.
7. Da Rosa J. E.
2. Figueredo L.
9. Hernandez R.
11. Maguicha D.
6. Minnicelli A.
10. Sandoval I.
8. Vallejo L.
3. Velasco A.
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| Substitutes |
16. Arcuri L.
13. Ciancio V.
19. Marin A.
20. Mesa F.
14. Postel F.
15. Rocha T.
12. Rolon J. (G)
17. San Martin T.
18. Scarcella R.
| 15. Busto J.
18. Cabrera D.
19. Diaz A.
20. Gugenheim C.
14. Ibarra L.
17. Paez A. M.
16. Quinteros E.
12. Ratti V. (G)
13. Sineiro C.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Vallejo L. 🟨,
- 39', Velasco A. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Zapata E. ↓, Scarcella R. ↑,
- 60', Leiva R. ↓, Rocha T. ↑,
- 65', Sandoval I. ↓, Gugenheim C. ↑,
- 65', Da Rosa J. E. ↓, Sineiro C. ↑,
- 65', Hernandez R. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
- 73', Polizotto M. ↓, Mesa F. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 1.UAI Urquiza has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Deportivo Merlo is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 1.3:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, UAI Urquiza won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Dep. Merlo | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 30:37 | -7 | 35 |
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| 18 | UAI Urquiza | 25 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 24 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Merlo - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.89%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Primera B | | | 27.02.26 | Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza | 0:0 | | 29.09.25 | Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza | 1:2 | | 10.05.25 | UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Merlo | 1:1 | | 24.08.24 | UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Merlo | 0:0 | | 06.04.24 | Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza | 1:1 | | 12.06.23 | Deportivo Merlo - UAI Urquiza | 1:0 | | 11.02.23 | UAI Urquiza - Deportivo Merlo | 2:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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