The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UAI Urquiza 30.9%
Draw 33.2%
San Martín de Burzaco 35.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
33.1%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
34.3%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UAI Urquiza's form might have worsened.
San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Martín de Burzaco's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UAI Urquiza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Martín de Burzaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
UAI Urquiza - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. UAI Urquiza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). SM de Burzaco will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Viain I. (G) 4. Albano V. 8. Arcuri L. (C) 10. Asprea T. 3. Caceres A. 9. Diaz E. 5. Ibanez E. 6. Monzon S. 11. Pesse V. 7. Rios N. 2. Rodriguez V.
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 6. Barrera N. 9. Chavez B. 8. Denis K. 10. Diaz R. 11. Gauna N. A. 2. Lazarev R. 4. Lezcano L. 5. Peralta R. 3. Siliman A. 7. Velazquez R.
Substitutes
14. Gaitan Q. 15. Galli F. 17. Marin A. 20. Mesa F. 16. Polizotto M. 18. Prado F. 13. Rocha T. 12. Rolon J. (G) 19. Scarcella R.
14. Escudero M. 15. Juarez F. 12. Marchesi N. (G) 16. Muzzio M. 20. Serpa I. 17. Suarez L. 13. Tobon J. 18. Treppo E. 19. Zagert E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Caceres A. 🟨,
19', Caceres A. ↓, Prado F. ↑,
44', Albano V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Lezcano L. ↓, Serpa I. ↑,
60', Diaz E. 🟨,
69', Asprea T. ↓, Polizotto M. ↑,
69', Arcuri L. ↓, Galli F. ↑,
73', Diaz R. ↓, Treppo E. ↑,
78', 🟨,
78', Peralta R. 🟨,
78', Peralta R. 🟨,
78', Barrera N. 🟨,
79', Rios N. ↓, Scarcella R. ↑,
81', Velazquez R. ↓, Escudero M. ↑,
81', Chavez B. ↓, Tobon J. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 10).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
SM de Burzaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, UAI Urquiza has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, UAI Urquiza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, UAI Urquiza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
San Martin Burzaco
38
12
14
12
39:41
-2
50
21
UAI Urquiza
38
5
20
13
21:35
-14
35
Last Results with these Odds
UAI Urquiza - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.95%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Viain I. (G) 
Prado F. 
Tobon J. 
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