Match Info

Primera B - Round 28

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Location: Excursionistas Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Excursionistas		Deportivo Armenio

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.00	4.40
	1.85	2.98	4.25	Watch
	1.83	3.13	4.76
	1.83	3.05	4.61	Watch
	1.8	2.95	4.7
	1.88	3.24	4.38
	1.83	2.95	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	4.47 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
49.8%

Draw
29.9%

Deportivo Armenio
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

29%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

32%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Deportivo Armenio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excursionistas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Excursionistas - Deportivo Armenio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Blengio M. (G) 11. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 7. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 9. Gimenez W. 2. Maizarez I. 6. Pedrosa G. 5. Zoratti G.	1. Dominguez J. (G) 8. Almanza F. 10. Barrionuevo D. 2. Cardozo I. 11. Davila M. 6. Echeverria J. 5. Gerez R. 9. Herrera Jonathan N. 3. Mosca N. 4. Ortiz B. 7. Villalva L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Cardozo I. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Davila M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Blanco M. ↓, Polvera M. ↑,
46', Herrera Jonathan N. 🟨,
57', Gimenez W. ↓, Chambi L. ↑,
57', Alaniz M. ↓, Tellas G. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽,
66', Mosca N. 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Arango M. ⚽,
69', Avalos A. ↓, Paulides A. ↑,
71', Cardozo I. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
71', Villalva L. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
76', Espeche A. ↓, Ledesma D. ↑,
77', Tello F. ↓, Perez O. ↑,
77', Barrionuevo D. ↓, Gerez R. ↑,
79', 🟨,
84', Gerez R. 🟨,
84', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Excursionistas is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
8	Deportivo Armenio	38	17	9	12	42:38	4	60

Last Results with these Odds

Excursionistas - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 49.9%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
25.07.26	Deportivo Flandria - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0 ✺
14.07.26	Defensores Unidos - Excursionistas	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Excursionistas - Comunicaciones	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Excursionistas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTWLL
- Deportivo Armenio
Argentinian Primera B
25.07.26	Deportivo Armenio - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	2:2 ✺
14.07.26	Deportivo Armenio - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:1 ✺
10.07.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Deportivo Armenio	1:1 ✺
04.07.26	Deportivo Armenio - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
21.03.26	Deportivo Armenio - Excursionistas	0:2
27.09.25	Deportivo Armenio - Excursionistas	2:1
09.05.25	Excursionistas - Deportivo Armenio	1:0
03.11.24	Excursionistas - Deportivo Armenio	1:1
15.06.24	Deportivo Armenio - Excursionistas	2:1
Argentinian Primera C
13.05.19	Deportivo Armenio - Excursionistas	3:0
03.12.18	Excursionistas - Deportivo Armenio	0:0

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