The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 42.4%
Draw 32%
UAI Urquiza 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
31.8%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
30.9%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
UAI Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UAI Urquiza than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
75%
0%
Defensores Unidos - UAI Urquiza Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Alarcon M. N. 5. Baigorria A. 10. Gimenez M. 9. Herrera S. 2. Iribarne S. 3. Olivera L. 7. Ortigoza M. 11. Patroni S. 6. Suarez F. 8. Tello H.
1. Viain I. (G) 9. Diaz E. 4. Galli F. 8. Ibanez E. 6. Monzon S. 10. Pesse V. 7. Polizotto M. 3. Prado F. 5. Rios N. 2. Rodriguez V. 11. Zapata E.
Substitutes
19. D'Andrea F. 18. Ferreyra T. 13. Lorenzo A. 17. Montani L. 14. Rapetti M. 15. Redondo K. 12. Salerno F. (G) 20. Salvo D. 16. Sombra A.
19. Albano V. 16. Arcuri L. 13. Ferrara J. 18. Leiva R. 14. Postel F. 15. Rocha T. 12. Rolon J. (G) 17. Scacchi S. 20. Scarcella R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Zapata E. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Herrera S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ortigoza M. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
46', Pesse V. ↓, Scacchi S. ↑,
46', Polizotto M. ↓, Arcuri L. ↑,
54', Rodriguez V. 🟨,
56', Rodriguez V. ↓, Rocha T. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Iribarne S. (Own goal),
63', Tello H. ↓, D'Andrea F. ↑,
63', Herrera S. ↓, Sombra A. ↑,
70', Rocha T. 🟨,
80', Ibanez E. ↓, Albano V. ↑,
81', Patroni S. ↓, Salvo D. ↑,
81', Baigorria A. ↓, Redondo K. ↑,
83', Diaz E. ↓, Scarcella R. ↑,
85', Viain I. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 3.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Defensores Unidos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
18
Defensores Unidos
38
9
14
15
33:39
-6
41
21
UAI Urquiza
38
5
20
13
21:35
-14
35
Last Results with these Odds
UAI Urquiza - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.18%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.