Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday


	UCAM Murcia		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.6	2.9	2.55
	2.6	2.9	2.6
	2.48	2.85	2.8
	2.48	3.02	2.92
	2.46	3.1	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.6)	2.96 ↑ (2.94)	2.74 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
36.1%

Draw
30.7%

Algeciras
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

30.7%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

23%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Algeciras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UCAM Murcia - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches UCAM Murcia won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams UCAM Murcia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.11.21	Atlético Baleares - UCAM Murcia	3:0 ✺
14.11.21	Gimnástic de Tarragona - UCAM Murcia	2:2 ✺
05.11.21	UCAM Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:2 ✺
31.10.21	Sabadell - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
23.10.21	UCAM Murcia - Sevilla B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLTW
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.11.21	Algeciras - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
07.11.21	Algeciras - Castellón	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Alcoyano - Algeciras	0:0 ✺
23.10.21	Algeciras - Betis B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.05.21	UCAM Murcia - Algeciras	1:2
18.04.21	Algeciras - UCAM Murcia	1:1
10.11.19	Algeciras - UCAM Murcia	1:2
13.03.16	Algeciras - UCAM Murcia	1:0
25.10.15	UCAM Murcia - Algeciras	3:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
09.09.15	UCAM Murcia - Algeciras	2:1

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