The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UCAM Murcia B 61.3%
Draw 25%
Muleño 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.8%
22.6%
12.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.3%
22.1%
12.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UCAM Murcia B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Muleño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia B than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muleño than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
UCAM Murcia B - Muleño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia B won 1.
UCAM Murcia B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Muleño has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Muleño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, UCAM Murcia B is the clear favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia B won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).