Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 16

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Sport Complex Podillia (Khmelnytskyi)


	Podillya Khmelnytskyi		UCSA

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.05	2.72
	2.54	3.03	2.63
	2.49	3.07	2.78	Watch
	2.53	3	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (3)	3.04 ↓ (3.2)	2.69 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
36.1%

Draw
30%

UCSA
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28.5%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

27%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podillya Khmelnytskyi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Podillya Khmelnytskyi's performance.

UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UCSA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podillya Khmelnytskyi than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+5%)

Podillya Khmelnytskyi - UCSA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Ponomarenko I. (G) 18. Azizov D. 88. Baran R. 7. Kvasov Y. 5. Lys N. 20. Nikolyshyn O. 21. Rudyuk V. 35. Savin A. (C) 27. Serbinov D. 19. Shkinder V. 77. Snizhko O.	1. Barantsov K. (G) 73. Castro P. 98. Guerreiro V. 18. Lebedev S. 17. Pedro Acacio 81. Popravka Y. 3. Sydorenko D. 7. Sytnykov M. 5. Yevdokymov A. (C) 6. Yuvkhimets R. 28. Zhdanovych O.
Substitutes
9. Gemega V. 99. Kondratyuk J. (G) 17. Kozyrenko Y. 10. Kulish M. 13. Profatilo Y. 2. Savchuk P. 6. Serafimov O. 23. Shavrin V. 11. Sitalo A.	36. Amilakhanov T. 77. Khovayko K. 8. Kireev A. 99. Kovalev A. (G) 21. Matheus Fogo 10. Matheusinho 12. Postemskyi O. (G) 78. Wendell 14. Zakhidnyi P. 19. Zherebetskyi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Savin A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Castro P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 1 - 2, Guerreiro V. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Podillya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Podillya won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.11.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Nyva Ternopil - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:1 ✺
18.10.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalist Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TWWLL
- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.11.25	Nyva Ternopil - UCSA	1:4 ✺
01.11.25	UCSA - Metalist Kharkiv	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - UCSA	4:1 ✺
20.10.25	UCSA - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
13.10.25	Chernihiv - UCSA	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
01.08.25	UCSA - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:0
Ukrainian Cup
12.08.24	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - UCSA	0:1

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