Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 13

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	UCSA		Lokomotyv Kyiv

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.00	2.25
	2.9	3.05	2.3
	3	3.05	2.22
	3.02	3.19	2.26	Watch
	2.97	3.3	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	2.27 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCSA
30.8%

Draw
29.2%

Lokomotyv Kyiv
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.3%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

29.2%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Lokomotyv Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotyv Kyiv than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

UCSA - Lokomotyv Kyiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Yushchyshyn V. (G) 20. Andrushchenko M. 73. Castro P. (C) 35. Hiago Cena 15. Osman O. 22. Rogach Y. 45. Sabiyev D. 17. Sklyar O. 7. Sytnykov M. 49. Vitinho 28. Zhdanovych O.	1. Lyopka R. (G) 20. Churko V. 33. Myakushko S. 34. Nagnoynyi D. 32. Romanenko D. 11. Sakhnenko O. 3. Savchenko R. 90. Savchuk P. (C) 5. Syrash M. 19. Tkachenko R. 27. Tymenko V.
Substitutes
11. Emere A. 19. Goulart G. 9. Khoblenko O. 8. Kireev A. 12. Kovalyov A. (G) 42. Makhnev D. 10. Matheusinho 71. Ruan Santos	10. Golub D. 14. Ikenna S. 71. Karpenko M. (G) 9. Manuilov B. 47. Pushkutsa I. 6. Sabalayev A. 99. Yarmak Y. 16. Zasovitskyi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Sakhnenko O. ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, Tymenko V. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Sytnykov M. ⚽,
41', 2 - 2, Castro P. ⚽,
42', Andrushchenko M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
69', 3 - 2, Rogach Y. ⚽,
69', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
82', Vitinho ↓, Kireev A. ↑,
82', Osman O. ↓, Makhnev D. ↑,
82', Andrushchenko M. ↓, Goulart G. ↑,
82', Rogach Y. ↓, Ruan Santos ↑,
85', Sakhnenko O. ↓, Golub D. ↑,
85', Nagnoynyi D. ↓, Manuilov B. ↑,
86', Myakushko S. ↓, Pushkutsa I. ↑,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th and 7th).

Recent results have been tough for UCSA (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Lokomotyv shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

UCSA could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, UCSA has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Specifically in home fixtures for UCSA against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lokomotyv Kyiv	13	4	5	4	17:16	1	17
12	UCSA	13	3	5	5	18:21	-3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
17.10.26	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - UCSA	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	UCSA - Feniks-Mariupol	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - UCSA	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	UCSA - Viktoriya Sumy	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - UCSA	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL
- Lokomotyv Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.10.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Nyva Ternopil	0:0 ✺
11.10.26	Oleksandriya - Lokomotyv Kyiv	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	3:3 ✺
26.09.26	Probiy Horodenka - Lokomotyv Kyiv	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Kulykiv-Bilka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Druha Liga
03.11.23	UCSA - Lokomotyv Kyiv	1:1

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