Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 11

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Oleksandriya		Lokomotyv Kyiv

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.20	6.00
	1.62	3.20	5.70
	1.60	3.11	6.10
	1.47	3.97	6.5	Watch
	1.69	3.65	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.47)	3.43 ↓ (3.75)	5.85 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandriya
57.6%

Draw
26.7%

Lokomotyv Kyiv
15.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

24.1%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

23.9%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Lokomotyv Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotyv Kyiv than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Oleksandriya - Lokomotyv Kyiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klishchuk A. (G) 10. Buletsa S. (C) 2. Dmytruk T. 5. Dykhtyaruk O. 44. Jhonnatan 30. Kopyna Y. 25. Kozak O. 14. Kuzmyn R. 94. Melnyk O. 21. Tolochko R. 9. Tretyakov M.	1. Lyopka R. (G) 20. Churko V. 17. Golovatenko A. 34. Nagnoynyi D. 11. Sakhnenko O. 3. Savchenko R. 90. Savchuk P. (C) 5. Syrash M. 44. Titarenko T. 19. Tkachenko R. 27. Tymenko V.
Substitutes
40. Chernysh D. 35. Danylo G. 1. Dolgyi V. (G) 4. Gavrylyuk N. 79. Khmelovskyy D. 77. Kremchanin D. 16. Prytula O. 22. Skorko D. 17. Slyusar D. 8. Storchous A. 61. Stovba M. (G) 90. Vlasyuk D.	10. Golub D. 14. Ikenna S. 71. Karpenko M. (G) 9. Manuilov B. 7. Mordas B. 47. Pushkutsa I. 32. Romanenko D. 6. Sabalayev A. 77. Savchuk O. 99. Yarmak Y. 16. Zasovitskyi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Tymenko V. 🟨,
17', Jhonnatan 🟨,
20', Titarenko T. ↓, Romanenko D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
66', 0 - 1, Sakhnenko O. ⚽,
70', 0 - 2, Sakhnenko O. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Dykhtyaruk O. ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, Savchuk O. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Premier League and 10th).

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Oleksandriya may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Oleksandriya enters as the overwhelming favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Oleksandriya	13	6	5	2	19:11	8	23
8	Lokomotyv Kyiv	13	4	5	4	17:16	1	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.10.26	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Oleksandriya	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Oleksandriya - Feniks-Mariupol	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Oleksandriya	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	Oleksandriya - Viktoriya Sumy	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Probiy Horodenka - Oleksandriya	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLWW
- Lokomotyv Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
03.10.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	3:3 ✺
26.09.26	Probiy Horodenka - Lokomotyv Kyiv	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Kulykiv-Bilka	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Poltava	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Lokomotyv Kyiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWWWL

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