Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 9

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Probiy Horodenka		Lokomotyv Kyiv

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.10	2.95
	2.12	3.3	3.05
	2.15	3.37	3.08	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.13)	3.24 ↑ (3.21)	3.04 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Probiy Horodenka
42.3%

Draw
27.9%

Lokomotyv Kyiv
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.6%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Probiy Horodenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Lokomotyv Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotyv Kyiv than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Probiy Horodenka - Lokomotyv Kyiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 44. Batz M. 18. Bliznichenko A. (C) 98. Fesenko A. 21. Girnyi M. 16. Guk I. 6. Ivanychuk V. 30. Lepskyi O. 19. Napuda V. 5. Savchyn V. 7. Savitskyi A.	1. Lyopka R. (G) 17. Golovatenko A. 7. Mordas B. 33. Myakushko S. (C) 11. Sakhnenko O. 3. Savchenko R. 90. Savchuk P. 5. Syrash M. 44. Titarenko T. 27. Tymenko V. 99. Yarmak Y.
Substitutes
31. Arkhypchuk K. (G) 12. Barabanov V. (G) 56. Borysenko M. 9. Burenko M. 8. Drygan B. 13. Galonskyi V. 4. Kozachuk A. 70. Yaroshenko S.	23. Belytskyi D. 14. Ikenna S. 71. Karpenko M. (G) 9. Manuilov B. 34. Nagnoynyi D. 47. Pushkutsa I. 32. Romanenko D. 6. Sabalayev A. 77. Savchuk O. 19. Tkachenko R. 16. Zasovitskyi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Mordas B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 2, Myakushko S. ⚽,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th in the Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 13th).

Probiy is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Lokomotyv have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Lokomotyv has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Probiy is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Probiy has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lokomotyv Kyiv	10	3	4	3	12:12	0	13
16	Probiy Horodenka	10	1	2	7	8:27	-19	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.09.26	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Probiy Horodenka	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Probiy Horodenka - Feniks-Mariupol	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Probiy Horodenka - Oleksandriya	1:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Probiy Horodenka	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Probiy Horodenka - Viktoriya Sumy	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Lokomotyv Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.09.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Kulykiv-Bilka	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Poltava	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Lokomotyv Kyiv	1:0 ✺
28.08.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Feniks-Mariupol	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Probiy Horodenka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Cup
21.08.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Probiy Horodenka	1:3

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