Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	UCSA		Probiy Horodenka

	1	X	2
	1.74	3.36	4.57	Watch
	2.18	3.22	3.33
	2.14	3.33	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.7)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	3.6 ↓ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCSA
46%

Draw
28.1%

Probiy Horodenka
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26.7%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

26.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCSA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UCSA's form might have worsened.

Probiy Horodenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Probiy Horodenka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UCSA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Probiy Horodenka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

UCSA - Probiy Horodenka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barantsov K. (G) 4. Balaba N. 73. Castro P. 8. Kireev A. 17. Pedro Acacio 11. Romarinho 3. Sydorenko D. 7. Sytnykov M. 5. Yevdokymov A. (C) 6. Yuvkhimets R. 9. Zadnipryanets B.	1. Serdyuk R. (G) 3. Bilyi I. (C) 23. Drekalo A. 22. Gavrylyuk N. 16. Guk I. 6. Ivanychuk V. 15. Kharuk R. 10. Orynchak B. 5. Savchyn V. 7. Sikach M. 17. Volynets D.
Substitutes
75. Bruno Jesus 41. Icaro 77. Khovayko K. 18. Lebedev S. 21. Matheus Fogo 10. Matheusinho 22. Petruk N. 81. Popravka Y. 12. Postemskyi O. (G) 27. Vasin M. 78. Wendell 19. Zherebetskyi M.	90. Babanin V. 19. Dmytruk I. 8. Drygan B. 30. Felipovych V. 26. Golodryga R. 25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 77. Palagnyuk V. 44. Pasichnyk V. 9. Pylypchuk D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Kharuk R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Gavrylyuk N. 🟨,
58', Pedro Acacio ↓, Icaro ↑,
58', Castro P. ↓, Wendell ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation)).

Recent performances by UCSA have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Probiy is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

UCSA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, UCSA is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.09.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - UCSA	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	UCSA - Inhulets	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - UCSA	0:3 ✺
29.08.25	UCSA - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Nyva Vinnycja - UCSA	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWLW
- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.09.25	Probiy Horodenka - Vorskla Poltava	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Probiy Horodenka	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Probiy Horodenka - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Probiy Horodenka	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.25	Probiy Horodenka - LNZ Cherkasy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLTL

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