The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UD Logroñés 68.3%
Draw 22.6%
Barbastro 9.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.2%
24.4%
14.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.6%
23.9%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Logroñés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UD Logroñés's performance.
Barbastro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barbastro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Logroñés that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (+5%)
UD Logroñés - Barbastro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Barrero A. O. (Pen),
18', 2 - 0, Caballero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 3 - 0, Riki de Moraes ⚽,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Logroñés is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Barbastro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Logroñés is absolute favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0 (average 0:0).
Including matches at home between the teams Logroñés won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0