Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 31 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Deportes (Barbastro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Aragon TV


	Barbastro		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	2.15
	3.3	3.2	2.25
	3.4	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.34	3.15	2.11
	3.45	3.24	2.14	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.39	3.22	2.24
	3.4	3.1	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.46)	3.18 ↓ (3.29)	2.16 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbastro
27.7%

Draw
29.2%

Amorebieta
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

28.3%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

22.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbastro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barbastro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amorebieta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Barbastro - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barbastro will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Amorebieta will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amorebieta: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabrega A. (G) 22. Arroyo O. 3. Jaime 5. Garcia I. 21. Barrera A. 7. Bautista H. 8. Javito 14. Santigosa D. 18. Albin J. 11. Prat M. 9. De Mesa Garrido A.	1. Marino U. (G) 20. Coto E. 4. Kortazar M. 15. Aurtenetxe J. 23. Calavera J. 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 22. Yuste A. 18. Coulibaly A. 10. Berto 21. Marin A. 7. Selma D.
Substitutes
6. Alonso G. 4. Castillo M. 10. El Haddadi A. 2. Inigo G. 13. Mendez V. (G) 12. Navarro Manzano J. D. 17. Oteo J. 20. Rueda A. 23. Ruiz A.	5. Amelibia J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 3. Camacho S. 13. Campos G. (G) 2. Carbonell A. 11. Hervias P. 9. Kaxe 17. Munoz I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Garcia I. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Berto ↓, Carbonell A. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, De Mesa Garrido A. ⚽, Jaime (A),
61', Albin J. ↓, Alonso G. ↑,
61', Prat M. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Barrera A. ⚽,
69', 3 - 0, Barrera A. (Pen),
70', Arroyo O. ↓, Inigo G. ↑,
73', Calavera J. ↓, Kaxe ↑,
73', Aurtenetxe J. ↓, Hervias P. ↑,
73', Bravo Fernandez M. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
74', 4 - 0, De Mesa Garrido A. ⚽,
77', Javito ↓, Rueda A. ↑,
77', De Mesa Garrido A. ↓, Oteo J. ↑,
80', Coulibaly A. ↓, Amelibia J. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Barbastro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Amorebieta has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Barbastro have a series of home games.

Amorebieta will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbastro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.10.24	Barbastro - Subiza	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Barbastro - Teruel	2:1 ✺
16.10.24	Barbastro - Calahorra	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Anguiano - Barbastro	0:3 ✺
06.10.24	Barbastro - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Tarazona - Amorebieta	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Amorebieta - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:3 ✺
13.10.24	Celta de Vigo B - Amorebieta	3:1 ✺
04.10.24	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2 ✺
29.09.24	Zamora - Amorebieta	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

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