Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	UD Ourense		Langreo

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.1	3
	2.4	2.95	3.27
	2.36	2.99	3.10	Watch
	2.31	3.05	3.13
	2.46	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.45)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	3.02 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
39.4%

Draw
30.1%

Langreo
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

27.1%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Langreo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UD Ourense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Langreo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Langreo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

UD Ourense - Langreo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Langreo (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Langreo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Barbosa J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

UD Ourense could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.10.25	Rayo Cantabria - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	UD Ourense - Real Ávila	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Salamanca - UD Ourense	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	UD Ourense - Marino de Luanco	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Burgos Promesas - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLLT
- UP Langreo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.10.25	Deportivo A Coruña B - Langreo	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Langreo - Rayo Cantabria	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Burgos Promesas - Langreo	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Langreo - Real Ávila	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Marino de Luanco - Langreo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLL

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