Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Lealtad		Valladolid B

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.45	2.3
	2.71	3.4	2.37
	2.68	3.49	2.34	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.38
	2.69	3.25	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.59)	3.34 ↑ (3.32)	2.34 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lealtad
34%

Draw
27.2%

Valladolid B
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.7%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lealtad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Valladolid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid B than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Lealtad - Valladolid B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Carvajal A. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Carvajal A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
76', 1 - 2, Luisen ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Yerpes Santillana S. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, Carvajal A. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lealtad won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lealtad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lealtad won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lealtad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lealtad
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.04.26	Atlético Astorga - Lealtad	3:4 ✺
29.03.26	Lealtad - Burgos Promesas	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Lealtad	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Bergantiños - Lealtad	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Lealtad - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLLW
- Valladolid B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.04.26	Valladolid B - Bergantiños	3:4 ✺
29.03.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Valladolid B	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Valladolid B - Real Oviedo B	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Rayo Cantabria - Valladolid B	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Valladolid B - Numancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.10.25	Valladolid B - Lealtad	4:1
06.03.21	Lealtad - Valladolid B	1:1
06.12.20	Valladolid B - Lealtad	0:1
02.04.17	Valladolid B - Lealtad	0:0
06.11.16	Lealtad - Valladolid B	0:0
14.02.16	Valladolid B - Lealtad	1:1
27.09.15	Lealtad - Valladolid B	5:1

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