Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29Date: 29 March 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Spain | Footballclub |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Lealtad |
|
Burgos Promesas |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.08 |
3.05 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.01 |
3.27 |
3.78 |
|
 |
1.99 |
3.26 |
3.6 |
Watch |
 |
2 |
3 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.98 |
3.13 |
3.74 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.01 ↓ (2.31) |
3.14 ↑ (3.02) |
3.57 ↑ (3.09) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lealtad 45.4% | Draw 29.1% | Burgos Promesas 25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lealtad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lealtad's performance.Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lealtad than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)Lealtad - Burgos Promesas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 1, Hernaiz D. ⚽,
- 55', 0 - 2, Hernaiz D. ⚽,
- 80', Muniz E. 🟥,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).Lealtad is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Burgos Promesas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Burgos Promesas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Lealtad could have a small edge in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lealtad won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;