The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UMECIT 37.4%
Draw 31.4%
Deportivo Universitario 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
32.1%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
32.8%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UMECIT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Deportivo Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for UMECIT than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Universitario than the current prediction. (-1%)
UMECIT - Deportivo Universitario Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Hinojosa C. (G) 3. Delgado J. 22. Palmezano A. 27. Garcia A. 62. Casazola M. 6. Fuentes J. (C) 17. Edwards A. 21. Almanza O. 78. Vasquez J. 7. Peralta H. 48. Espi
1. Cao G. (C) 2. Garcia J. 6. Matos J. 16. Yearwood A. 4. Dean L. 14. Giron E. 17. Wittle B. 24. Rangel R. 9. Bolanos E. 19. Simons J. 21. Pimentel V.
Substitutes
1. Almengor D. (G) 8. Batista R. 80. Delgado G. 14. Ford R. 10. Gomez E. 46. Lopez Y. 9. Murillo J. 11. Rodriguez E. 19. Saldana A.
25. Ampudia J. 7. Barrera J. 35. Betegon J. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 10. McKenzie A. 50. Pinzon O. 22. Reina R. 39. Vergara M. 47. Yerena M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Bolanos E. 🟨,
19', Dean L. 🟨,
32', Matos J. 🟨,
33', Pimentel V. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Edwards A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bolanos E. ↓, Pinzon O. ↑,
46', Simons J. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
46', Giron E. ↓, McKenzie A. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Espi ⚽,
65', Dean L. ↓, Betegon J. ↑,
66', Vasquez J. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
68', Espi 🟨,
77', 3 - 0, Palmezano A. ⚽,
83', Wittle B. ↓, Vergara M. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UMECIT won 1.
UMECIT is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
CD Universitario's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
CD Universitario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, UMECIT won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, UMECIT won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Universitario - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 30.89%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.