The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Universitario 36%
Draw 29.2%
Independiente de la Chorrera 34.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.9%
29.8%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31%
29.9%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Universitario's performance.
Independiente de la Chorrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Universitario than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente de la Chorrera than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Deportivo Universitario - Independiente de la Chorrera Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. CD Universitario will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CD Universitario (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cao G. (C) 2. Garcia J. 6. Matos J. 3. Gamboa C. 17. Diaz J. 18. Acosta M. 20. Maltez U. 27. Anderson I. 8. Clarke J. 31. Herrera R. 26. Gondola J.
1. Rodriguez A. (C) 4. Fori D. 13. Negrete G. 52. Cifuentes A. 27. Morales A. 6. Moran M. 7. Altamirano A. 20. McKenzie A. 43. Gomez V. 28. Ruiz M. 24. Obando J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', 🟨,
10', 🟨,
25', 🟨,
30', 🟨,
36', Moran M. ↓, Giron E. ↑,
45+3', Gamboa C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Clarke J. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
61', Acosta M. ↓, De Los Rios A. ↑,
62', Cifuentes A. 🟨,
62', Altamirano A. ↓, Contreras D. ↑,
75', Herrera R. ↓, Betegon A. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Giron E. ⚽,
84', Maltez U. ↓, Rangel R. ↑,
86', Cifuentes A. ↓, Berrocal O. ↑,
86', Simons J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CD Universitario won 1.
CD Universitario is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Independiente has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
CD Universitario may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, CD Universitario has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, CD Universitario has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:35 (averaging 0.9:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for CD Universitario against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:11 goals (averaging 1.1:1.2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Universitario - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 30.88%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Independiente de la Chorrera - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.27%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Cao G. (C) 
Garcia J. 
Diaz J. 
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