Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Derde Divisie - Round 31

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	UNA		HSV Hoek

	1	X	2
	2.6	4	2.25
	2.58	3.78	2.21
	2.5	4.51	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.27)	4.1 ↑ (3.83)	2.23 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNA
36.1%

Draw
22.6%

HSV Hoek
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

24.1%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

23.3%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

HSV Hoek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HSV Hoek's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNA than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSV Hoek than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HSV Hoek, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Senders S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

UNA is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hoek is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hoek could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hoek have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VV UNA
Dutch Derde Divisie
21.04.24	AWC - UNA	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	UNA - Kloetinge	4:1 ✺
07.04.24	TOGB - UNA	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	UNA - TEC	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Groene Ster - UNA	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLTL
- HSV Hoek
Dutch Derde Divisie
13.04.24	AWC - HSV Hoek	0:4 ✺
01.04.24	TEC - HSV Hoek	3:3 ✺
29.03.24	Kloetinge - HSV Hoek	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	TOGB - HSV Hoek	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	GVV Unitas - HSV Hoek	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLLW

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