Match Info
Premier League - Round 15Date: 30 January 2026, FridayLocation: Bombo Stadium (Kampala)
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UPDF |
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Bul |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.2 |
2.82 |
2.25 |
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 |
3.01 |
2.81 |
2.4 |
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 |
3.27 |
2.9 |
2.26 |
 Watch |
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2.9 |
2.8 |
2.3 |
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2.97 |
3.1 |
2.38 |
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3 |
2.71 |
2.33 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.06 ↓
(3.09) |
2.86 ↓
(2.99) |
2.32 ↑
(2.19) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
UPDF
29.5% | Draw
31.6% | Bul
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UPDF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Bul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)The ML Model estimate for UPDF aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bul than the current prediction. (+1.4%)UPDF - Bul Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Ndugwa K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 3.UPDF is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Bul has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).UPDF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Bul is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.6:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, UPDF won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.9:0.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 12 |
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| 10 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 04.12.24 | Bul - UPDF | 0:2 | | 12.03.24 | Bul - UPDF | 0:1 | | 09.11.23 | UPDF - Bul | 2:0 | | 21.02.23 | UPDF - Bul | 1:1 | | 01.03.22 | Bul - UPDF | 5:1 | | 22.12.21 | UPDF - Bul | 2:1 | | 20.04.21 | Bul - UPDF | 4:3 |
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