Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas
Usa	Futbol de Primera Radio, HBO Max, NBC Universo, Peacock TV, Telemundo, TNT, truTV, UNIVERSO NOW


	USA		Ecuador

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.48	3.05	2.92
	2.47	3.13	3.1
	2.21	3.33	3.02	Watch
	2.53	3.24	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.28)	3.2 ↓ (3.31)	3.02 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

USA
39.1%

Draw
29.5%

Ecuador
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.6%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

USA - Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. USA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Freese M. (G) New York City 12. Robinson M. FC Cincinnati 3. Richards C. Crystal Palace 13. Ream T. (C) Charlotte FC 21. Weah T. Marseille 4. Tessmann T. Lyon 8. McKennie W. Juventus 18. Arfsten M. Columbus Crew 17. Tillman M. Bayer Leverkusen 20. Balogun F. Monaco 23. Morris A. Middlesbrough	1. Galindez H. (G) Huracan 17. Preciado A. Sparta Prague 4. Ordonez J. Club Brugge 6. Pacho W. PSG 7. Estupinan P. AC Milan 8. Alcivar J. Independiente del Valle 21. Franco A. (C) Atletico-MG 15. Vite P. UNAM Pumas 10. Paez K. Strasbourg 9. Yeboah J. Venezia 13. Valencia E. Pachuca
Substitutes
11. Aaronson B. Leeds 9. Agyemang P. Derby 25. Brady C. (G) Chicago Fire 2. Carter-Vickers C. Celtic 16. Freeman A. Orlando City 7. Luna D. Real Salt Lake 22. McKenzie M. Toulouse 10. Pulisic C. AC Milan 6. Roldan C. Seattle Sounders 15. Sands J. St. Pauli 26. Schulte P. (G) Columbus Crew 1. Turner M. (G) New England Revolution 19. Wright H. Coventry	20. Angulo N. Anderlecht 16. Campana L. New England Revolution 19. Castillo D. Midtjylland 25. Guagua D. Independiente del Valle 3. Jhoanner Chavez Lens 24. Medina Y. Genk 18. Mercado J. Sparta Prague 23. Mercado P. Independiente del Valle 14. Minda A. Cercle Brugge 5. Ramirez C. Lokomotiv Moscow 26. Ramirez Leon B. J. LDU Quito 12. Ramirez M. (G) Kifisia 11. Rodriguez K. Royale Union SG 2. Torres F. Corinthians 22. Valle G. (G) LDU Quito
Coaches
Pochettino M.	Beccacece S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Richards C. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Valencia E. ⚽, Yeboah J. (A),
40', Robinson M. 🟨,
44', Estupinan P. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Paez K. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
46', Yeboah J. ↓, Angulo N. ↑,
63', McKennie W. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
63', Robinson M. ↓, Freeman A. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Balogun F. ⚽, Tillman M. (A),
73', Ream T. ↓, McKenzie M. ↑,
73', Weah T. ↓, Pulisic C. ↑,
73', Morris A. ↓, Roldan C. ↑,
74', Valencia E. ↓, Campana L. ↑,
81', Balogun F. ↓, Wright H. ↑,
83', Medina Y. 🟨,
90', Pacho W. 🟨,
90', Alcivar J. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,

Preview

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, USA won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA
Friendly
09.09.25	USA - Japan	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	USA - South Korea	0:2 ✺
Gold Cup
06.07.25	USA - Mexico	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	USA - Guatemala	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	USA - Costa Rica	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWW
- Ecuador
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Ecuador - Argentina	1:0 ✺
04.09.25	Paraguay - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
10.06.25	Peru - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
05.06.25	Ecuador - Brazil	0:0 ✺
25.03.25	Chile - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
21.03.19	USA - Ecuador	1:0
Copa America
16.06.16	USA - Ecuador	2:1
Friendly
25.05.16	USA - Ecuador	1:0
10.10.14	USA - Ecuador	1:1

USA - Ecuador: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide