Match Info

MALI: PREMIERE DIVISION - ROUND 12

Date: 5 January 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished


	USC Kita		Djoliba

	1	X	2
	4.2	2.8	1.88
	4.24	2.57	2.04
	4.24	2.57	2.05
	4.5	3.1	1.67
	4.33	2.66	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.3 ↓ (5.12)	2.74 ↓ (3)	1.94 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USC Kita
20.9%

Draw
32.8%

Djoliba
46.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.8%

30.3%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

29.4%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USC Kita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Djoliba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Djoliba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USC Kita than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djoliba than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Djoliba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3).

USC Kita is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Djoliba is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Djoliba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently USC Kita have a series of guest games.

In this match Djoliba is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches USC Kita won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Kita
Malian Première Division
27.12.23	Koro - USC Kita	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	USFAS Bamako - USC Kita	0:0 ✺
06.12.23	Korofina - USC Kita	0:0 ✺
01.12.23	USC Kita - Bakaridjan	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Real Bamako - USC Kita	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTTL
- Djoliba AC
Malian Première Division
30.12.23	Stade Malien - Djoliba	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	Djoliba - Korofina	1:0 ✺
22.12.23	Djoliba - Bakaridjan	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Real Bamako - Djoliba	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Djoliba - AS Police de Bamako	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
31.05.23	Djoliba - USC Kita	1:0
15.01.22	Djoliba - USC Kita	1:2
17.05.17	Djoliba - USC Kita	2:0
30.07.16	Djoliba - USC Kita	2:2

USC Kita - Djoliba

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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