Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Uberlândia		Serra Branca

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.10	3.50
	2.02	3.00	3.55
	1.98	3.18	3.86
	2.06	3.17	3.51	Watch
	1.94	3.10	3.70
	2.03	3.23	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.02)	3.13 ↑ (3.07)	3.65 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uberlândia
45.8%

Draw
29.2%

Serra Branca
25.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

29.7%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uberlândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Serra Branca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uberlândia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Uberlândia - Serra Branca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Marcos Calazans ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Tomas Bastos ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 2 - 1, Diego Ceara ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Bruno ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Serra Branca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Uberlândia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uberlândia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uberlândia EC
Brazilian Serie D
04.07.26	Serra Branca - Uberlândia	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Uberlândia - Rio Branco AC ES	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Uberlândia	0:2 ✺
14.06.26	Uberlândia - ABECAT Ouvidorense	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Ivinhema - Uberlândia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTWLT
- Serra Branca EC
Brazilian Serie D
04.07.26	Serra Branca - Uberlândia	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Juazeirense - Serra Branca	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Serra Branca - Juazeirense	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Sergipe - Serra Branca	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Serra Branca - Retrô Brasil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
04.07.26	Serra Branca - Uberlândia	0:1

Uberlândia - Serra Branca