Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A - ROUND 3

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Dacia Arena (Udine)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	CMore
France	beIN Sports Max
Hungary	Sport 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Udinese		Frosinone

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.86	3.6	4.25
	1.91	3.5	4.15
	1.95	3.6	4.3
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.89	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.95	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.78)	3.53 ↓ (3.64)	4.17 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: fubo Sports Network 5 DRM (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Udinese
50.3%

Draw
26.9%

Frosinone
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.8%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.5%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Udinese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Udinese than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	10.5%	15.8%

Udinese - Frosinone Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Udinese will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). Frosinone will win (votes: 6 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Udinese: 59.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silvestri M. (G) 18. Perez N. 29. Bijol J. 27. Kabasele C. 13. Ferreira J. 24. Samardzic L. 11. Walace (C) 4. Lovric S. 12. Kamara H. 26. Thauvin F. 17. Lucca L.	80. Turati S. (G) 22. Oyono A. 30. Monterisi I. 6. Romagnoli S. 3. Marchizza R. 36. Mazzitelli L. (C) 45. Barrenechea E. 18. Soule M. 21. Harroui A. 14. Gelli F. 70. Cheddira W.
Substitutes
15. Ake M. 21. Camara E. 2. Ebosele F. 5. Guessand A. 31. Kristensen T. 72. Malusa J. (G) 83. Nwachukwu S. J. 40. Okoye M. (G) 79. Pejicic D. 8. Quina D. 7. Success I. 20. Vivaldo 6. Zarraga O. 33. Zemura J.	7. Baez J. 4. Brescianini M. 10. Caso G. 31. Cerofolini M. (G) 11. Cuni M. 1. Frattali P. (G) 16. Garritano L. 9. Kaio Jorge 17. Kvernadze G. 47. Lusuardi M. 5. Okoli C.
Coaches
Sottil A.	Di Francesco E.

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Udinese is a favorite.

There will not play in Udinese: Brenner (Injury) Deulofeu G. (Knee Injury) Ebosse E. (Knee Injury) Ehizibue K. (Knee Injury) Masina A. (Injury) Pafundi S. (Injury)

There will not play in Frosinone: Kaio Jorge (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Udinese: Padelli D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Frosinone: Kalaj S. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Udinese won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Udinese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Udinese Calcio
Italian Serie A
28.08.23	Salernitana - Udinese	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Udinese - Juventus	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.08.23	Udinese - Catanzaro	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.23	Udinese - Al-Rayyan	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Udinese - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWWL
- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
26.08.23	Frosinone - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Frosinone - Napoli	1:3 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.08.23	Frosinone - Pisa	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Frosinone - Nuova Cosenza	3:3 ✺
29.07.23	Frosinone - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.05.19	Frosinone - Udinese	1:3
22.12.18	Udinese - Frosinone	1:1
Coppa Italia
12.08.17	Udinese - Frosinone	3:2
Italian Serie A
06.03.16	Frosinone - Udinese	2:0
25.10.15	Udinese - Frosinone	1:0

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