The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Napoli 65.8%
Draw 19.6%
Frosinone 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.1%
19.6%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.7%
21%
14.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Napoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Napoli - Frosinone Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Napoli will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Napoli (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Frosinone shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Frosinone may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The betting markets point to Napoli as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Napoli has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 20:8 (averaging 2.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Napoli against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 10:6 goals (averaging 2.5:1.5 per game).
Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
Napoli: 3.77% Frosinone: 0.28%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Frosinone
5
3
1
1
9:4
5
10
9
Napoli
5
2
1
2
7:6
1
7
Last Results with these Odds
Napoli - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 65.11%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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