Match Info

Serie A - Round 7

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Benito Stirpe (Frosinone) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	05:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN
Bangladesh	00:45	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	15:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	01:45	MyTV
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	15:45	Disney+
China	02:45	Migu
Colombia	13:45	Disney+
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	22:45	Silk Universal
Germany	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
India	00:15	ZEE5
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Iraq	21:45	Almanasa
Israel	21:45	Sport 4
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	21:45	Shasha
Malaysia	02:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
New Zealand	07:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	13:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	21:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	21:45	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1, Voyo
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Suriname	15:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	DAZN, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	01:45	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	19:45	Diwan Sport
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	CBS Sports Network, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+


	Frosinone		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.75	2.7
	2.30	3.80	2.75
	2.42	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.51	3.8	2.82
	2.51	3.63	2.69	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.75
	2.41	3.81	2.74
	2.42	3.8	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 (2.43)	3.71 ↑ (3.5)	2.74 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Frosinone
39.4%

Draw
25.8%

Sassuolo
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.2%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.1%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Sassuolo aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	45.8%	29.2%

Frosinone - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Sassuolo will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Frosinone (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Frosinone (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Palmisani L. (G) 20. Oyono A. 2. Cittadini G. 30. Monterisi I. (C) 79. Bracaglia G. 73. Masini P. 14. Calo G. 7. Ghedjemis F. 10. Schmid R. 17. Kvernadze G. 9. Raimondo A.	49. Muric A. (G) 20. Van der Brempt I. 26. Odenthal C. 15. Caleta-Car D. 3. Doig J. 18. Matic N. 50. Bakola D. 10. Berardi D. (C) 42. Thorstvedt K. 45. Lauriente A. 94. Esposito Se.
Substitutes
25. Akpoguma K. 5. Amey W. 11. Birligea D. 89. Bobcek T. 3. Calvani G. 16. Cichella M. 91. Desplanches S. (G) 34. El Azzouzi A. 74. Fayed O. 40. Fini S. 70. Hasa L. 12. Pisseri M. (G) 90. Tchato E. 71. Terzic A. 24. Zerbin A.	17. Adzic V. 9. Bowie K. 5. Cande F. 46. Cinquegrano S. 25. Dominguez B. 8. Ghion A. 35. Lipani L. 33. Obrador R. 70. Pieragnolo E. 12. Satalino G. (G) 19. Skjellerup L. 55. Sulemana I. 80. Turati S. (G) 7. Volpato C. 6. Walukiewicz S.
Coaches
Alvini M.	Aquilani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Calo G. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Berardi D. ⚽, Bakola D. (A),
26', 2 - 1, Raimondo A. ⚽,
30', 3 - 1, Raimondo A. ⚽,
37', 3 - 2, Thorstvedt K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 4 - 2, Raimondo A. ⚽,
59', Thorstvedt K. ↓, Bowie K. ↑,
67', Esposito Se. ↓, Dominguez B. ↑,
68', Matic N. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
68', Doig J. ↓, Obrador R. ↑,
74', Monterisi I. ↓, Fayed O. ↑,
74', Kvernadze G. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
80', Oyono A. ↓, Amey W. ↑,
80', Calo G. ↓, Cichella M. ↑,
82', Bowie K. 🟨,
83', Lauriente A. ↓, Volpato C. ↑,
90', Raimondo A. ↓, Birligea D. ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 2.

Frosinone is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sassuolo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Frosinone may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Frosinone: Birligea D. (Muscle Injury) Grillitsch F. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Muscle Injury) Idzes J. (Muscle Injury) Kone I. (Broken Leg) Leysen F. (Knee Injury) Paz Y. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Sassuolo: Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury).

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Frosinone has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:14 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Frosinone against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 5:7 goals (averaging 1.3:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Frosinone	8	4	2	2	17:13	4	14
14	Sassuolo	9	2	2	5	14:22	-8	8

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Frosinone: 0.22% Sassuolo: 0.18%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Frosinone Calcio
Italian Serie A
10.10.26	Napoli - Frosinone	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Frosinone - Benevento	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
20.09.26	Frosinone - Como	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Genoa - Frosinone	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Frosinone - Venezia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWWTW
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
11.10.26	Sassuolo - Milan	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Monza - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Sassuolo - Juventus	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Bologna - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Sassuolo - Frosinone	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
02.09.26	Sassuolo - Frosinone	2:1 penalties
Italian Serie B
13.05.25	Sassuolo - Frosinone	0:1
14.12.24	Frosinone - Sassuolo	1:2
Italian Serie A
09.03.24	Sassuolo - Frosinone	1:0
17.09.23	Frosinone - Sassuolo	4:2
05.05.19	Sassuolo - Frosinone	2:2
16.12.18	Frosinone - Sassuolo	0:2

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