Match Info

Date: 12 March 2021, Friday


	Uerdingen		Lübeck

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.3
	2.1	3.4	3.3
	2.1	3.3	3.2
	2.15	3.15	3.4
	2.22	3.35	3.51
	2.1	3.2	3.4
	2.2	3.26	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.13)	3.29 ↓ (3.36)	3.36 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uerdingen
43.7%

Draw
28.4%

Lübeck
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27.8%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

18.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uerdingen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uerdingen than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Uerdingen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lübeck could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Uerdingen - Lübeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - FRIMO Stadion.

Uerdingen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lübeck is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Uerdingen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Uerdingen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Uerdingen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KFC Uerdingen 05
German 3 Bundesliga
09.03.21	Uerdingen - Hansa Rostock	0:1 ✺
06.03.21	Saarbrücken - Uerdingen	2:2 ✺
03.03.21	Uerdingen - Ingolstadt	0:3 ✺
28.02.21	Uerdingen - Duisburg	1:2 ✺
22.02.21	Wehen Wiesbaden - Uerdingen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLLL
- Vfb Lübeck
German 3 Bundesliga
06.03.21	Lübeck - Viktoria Köln	1:2 ✺
03.03.21	Lübeck - Hansa Rostock	1:0 ✺
27.02.21	Hallescher - Lübeck	2:1 ✺
20.02.21	Lübeck - Türkgücü München	0:2 ✺
14.02.21	Dynamo Dresden - Lübeck	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
08.11.20	Lübeck - Uerdingen	1:0

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