Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 11

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: BetBoom Arena (Ufa)


	Ufa		Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	2.43	2.91	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.75)	2.91 ↓ (3)	2.93 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ufa
37.5%

Draw
31.3%

Novosibirsk
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

30.8%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

30.2%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ufa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ufa than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Novosibirsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baklov O. (C) 18. Gurenko A. 10. Gystarov R. 8. Isaev S. 5. Kutin D. 77. Minaev R. 97. Pasevich R. 7. Perchenok A. 44. Samsonov A. 22. Shavaev A. 45. Tenyaev A.	35. Kiselev M. (G) 17. Bammatgereev M. 49. Karaev M. 92. Khayrullov R. 86. Kobyalko A. 44. Larents V. 21. Makurin A. 22. Narylkov S. (C) 24. Popov K. 15. Redkovich D. 88. Tyurin V.
Substitutes
88. Ageyan M. 40. Chernov A. (G) 13. Grigorjev D. 37. Kapustyanskiy D. 62. Karpov V. 69. Khalilov H. 9. Khleborodov I. 90. Lyakh A. 11. Molteninov I. 17. Nasibov M. 79. Troyanov K.	70. Bakharev G. 67. Erokhin K. 11. Glukhov E. 91. Konev A. 23. Krotov A. 31. Polyanskiy D. (G) 10. Rozhkov N. 18. Shalaev O. 25. Solovyov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, Isaev S. ⚽,
59', Isaev S. ↓, Grigorjev D. ↑,
59', Gurenko A. ↓, Ageyan M. ↑,
60', Shavaev A. ↓, Troyanov K. ↑,
65', Kutin D. 🟨,
66', Kobyalko A. ↓, Konev A. ↑,
66', Tyurin V. ↓, Krotov A. ↑,
73', Khayrullov R. 🟨,
76', Kutin D. ↓, Lyakh A. ↑,
77', Gystarov R. ↓, Karpov V. ↑,
77', Bammatgereev M. ↓, Rozhkov N. ↑,
78', Popov K. ↓, Bakharev G. ↑,
79', Samsonov A. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Larents V. ⚽,
84', Narylkov S. ↓, Shalaev O. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Khayrullov R. (Own goal),

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL).

Recent matches Ufa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Novosibirsk is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Novosibirsk have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ufa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ufa
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
24.04.24	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Ufa	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	Ufa - Krasnodar 2	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Metallurg Lipetsk - Ufa	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Ufa - Chelyabinsk	2:0 ✺
03.04.24	Murom - Ufa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWL
- FC Novosibirsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
24.04.24	Novosibirsk - Rodina Moscow 2	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Novosibirsk - Rotor	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Krasnodar 2 - Novosibirsk	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Novosibirsk - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:0 ✺
03.04.24	Novosibirsk - Chelyabinsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
18.03.24	Novosibirsk - Ufa	0:0

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